Iteration 25 — ADMIT #3: e-ICP-fp Fills the STABLE Slot (Forex)

Iteration 25 — ADMIT #3: e-ICP-fp Fills the STABLE Slot ADMIT (FOREX) + INCLUDE-IF (CRYPTO)

In plain words: the instrument that survived five entrance-exam rounds walked the formal six-gate ladder and earned the campaign's third certificate — filling the one instrument slot that has been empty since the old identifier was killed: the ability to say which relationship is genuinely regime-stable. The decisive gate: its readings are nearly uncorrelated with every existing instrument (0.03 against the regime counter — it measures something truly new). Its power credential is the passed exam; its certificate is granted on forex (where the ground-truth anchor lives) with a scoped conditional on crypto pending one more test. And a first for the whole campaign: on ordinary crypto features it produced three non-empty identified invariant sets — three features whose coupling to specific core signals appears genuinely regime-stable, where every previous instrument saw only fog. Those are report-only for now, but they are the first raw material the STABLE status has ever had.

Preflight (A0): 2026-07-08 12:18 UTC — load1 3.29/32c (≤24) · 22 GiB avail · CH + sidecar active → ALL PASS. One capped run (0.92 min), hermetic crypto pool + committed cells, permutations of real rows only.

The ladder

Gate	Result
M0 status-linkage	PASS — STABLE ceiling, the stack's vacant slot
M1 trust anchor	PASS — matched permutation null + anytime-valid Ville bound + ground-truth exam (the strongest anchor combination on record)
M2 substrate	PASS-with-note — block-permutation refinement inherited as an expiry-review item; v5 conditioning rule applied
M3 redundancy attack	CLEAR — worst \|ρ\| = 0.245 vs admitted outputs (vs k_v: 0.031); new failure mode = invariant-set identification, a role nothing admitted covers
M5′ power	PASS — entrance exam v5 (row 33): exact identification with specificity on the byte-identical anchor
Verdict (row 34)	ADMIT(forex, 10-env EURUSD@5 grid, STABLE invariant-set identification readout, expiry: next completed forex slice) + INCLUDE-IF(crypto: M4 persistence-panel leg pending). Feed rows H-001/H-002 consumed.

Gate

Result

M0 status-linkage

PASS — STABLE ceiling, the stack's vacant slot

M1 trust anchor

PASS — matched permutation null + anytime-valid Ville bound + ground-truth exam (the strongest anchor combination on record)

M2 substrate

PASS-with-note — block-permutation refinement inherited as an expiry-review item; v5 conditioning rule applied

M3 redundancy attack

CLEAR — worst |ρ| = 0.245 vs admitted outputs (vs k_v: 0.031); new failure mode = invariant-set identification, a role nothing admitted covers

M5′ power

PASS — entrance exam v5 (row 33): exact identification with specificity on the byte-identical anchor

Verdict (row 34)

ADMIT(forex, 10-env EURUSD@5 grid, STABLE invariant-set identification readout, expiry: next completed forex slice) + INCLUDE-IF(crypto: M4 persistence-panel leg pending). Feed rows H-001/H-002 consumed.

Crypto bonus (report-only): first-ever non-empty identified invariant sets on ordinary features — aggression_ratio, bar_ehlers_increment_asymmetry, bar_cox_stuart_trend_z.

▶ Next iteration

Next firing: candidate A's crypto M4 leg (persistence-panel ΔAUC via the sealed machinery — resolves the crypto INCLUDE-IF), then B-01 continues with H-016 seqICP. The three identified sets become STABLE-declaration raw material once the crypto admission completes. Standing for the operator: the 73 cycle-1 draft statuses and the Frontier #4 precondition review — and with a STABLE identifier now admitted, the Frontier #4 expiry-monitor's "≥1 promoted feature" precondition may soon have real candidates.

Iteration 25 · 2026-07-08 · ADMIT #3 (row 34) — the STABLE slot filled on forex · capped · zero synthetic data · append-only