Preflight (A0): 2026-07-10 04:45 โ load1 5.18/32c (โค24) ยท 34 GiB avail, si trickle/so=0 ยท CH + sidecar + kintsugi active โ ALL PASS. Sync: origin/main unchanged. One capped run, 8.13 min (the campaign's longest โ expanding HAC across 7 epochs ร 130 features), readonly=2 loader, watchdog clean, deterministic candidate values, sealed-apparatus inference.
| Member | M4 held-out lift | M5โฒb direction | Verdict (row 64) |
| H-066 StaigerโStock F (strength) | ฮAUC +0.00278, CI95 [+0.00158, +0.00403] โ entirely positive, outside the null band; max ฯ vs base 0.352 | ฯ = โ0.138 (negative; fails the one-sided leg โ see discovery) | ADMIT #10 โ anchor-strength meter (nothing certified read strength) |
| H-067 AndersonโRubin (weak-robust) | ฮAUC +0.00727, CI95 [+0.00290, +0.01100] โ entirely positive, outside the null band; max ฯ vs base 0.302 | ฯ = โ0.107 (negative; fails) | ADMIT #11 โ weak-anchor-robust signal meter |
| H-065 SarganโHansen J (validity) | ฮAUC โ0.00063, CI95 [โ0.00108, โ0.00028] โ entirely โค 0 (small NEGATIVE lift, inside the null band) | ฯ = โ0.079 (fails) | EXCLUDE โ distinct from HSIC-X (0.484, row 63) but the distinctness carries no verdict value; the kernel guard keeps the validity role. BONEYARD (role-specific kill) |
| Discovery (not gated) | All three M5โฒb directions NEGATIVE (โ0.079 / โ0.138 / โ0.107): strongly/validly-anchored features are LESS likely to keep orthogonality โ the iter-9 inverted mechanism through the anchor lens; contrast Causal Dantzig's POSITIVE closeness direction (+0.126, row 56). Both lenses on record for the regime-lens question. |
Iteration 53 ยท 2026-07-10 ยท ADMIT #10 + ADMIT #11 + EXCLUDE (row 64, BONEYARD +1) ยท capped (8.13 min) ยท readonly=2 ยท zero generated values ยท append-only ยท evidence: anchor_triad_m4_m5b.py ยท anchor_triad_m4_m5b_results.json