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Iteration 58 โ€” the Cousins Split H-060 M3 CLEAR H-061 EXCLUDED (ฮท 0.897, KNIFE EDGE)

In plain words: the field test split the pair. The worst-regime gap meter โ€” the cousin with no dials at all โ€” came through clean: readings spread across the whole range, and its strongest resemblance to anything certified is 63%. The tail-risk cousin fell on the narrowest margin of the campaign: its rankings at two adjacent tail sizes agree 89.7% โ€” three thousandths below our 90% bar. Full honesty on the record: the instability lives only at the least tail-like end of its swept range (the deep-tail end was rock-stable at 97.7%), and a friendlier choice of range would have acquitted it. But redrawing a pre-registered range AFTER seeing the results is precisely the move this campaign forbids โ€” the same discipline that killed an earlier candidate at its range edge must apply symmetrically here, or pre-registration means nothing. The kill costs little (the surviving cousin covers the job, and their readings overlap 77%) and the repair is cheap: derive the tail size from first principles, or pre-register the narrower stable range โ€” a fresh candidate either way. The survivor marches to the final hurdles.

Preflight (A0): 2026-07-10 06:26 โ€” load1 3.49/32c (โ‰ค24) ยท one 1-core external python job (under bar) ยท 35 GiB avail, si trickle/so=0 ยท CH + sidecar + kintsugi active โ†’ ALL PASS. Sync: origin/main unchanged. One capped run, 0.44 min, readonly=2 loader, deterministic algebra, real rows only.

Census results (pre-registered rule in dro_cousins_m3_census.py โ€” three redundancy questions at once)

QuestionReadingRuling
ฮท dial at census scale (H-061)0.1โ†’0.25: 0.977 โœ“ (clean plateau) ยท 0.25โ†’0.5: 0.897 โœ— (bar 0.90 โ€” a 0.003 miss, the campaign's narrowest). Honesty note: the instability lives at the least tail-like end; a band redraw would acquit โ€” and is forbidden (the EILLS symmetry, row 53)RULE FIRES โ€” H-061 EXCLUDED
Stack redundancyH-060 gap: worst |ฯ| = 0.63 (vs CD d_min) ยท H-061 cvx: worst 0.535 โ€” both under barCLEAR (both)
Cousins vs each otherMutual ฯ(gap, cvx@0.25) = 0.77 โ€” related framings, far from one instrument; the survivor covers the worst-regime roleNOT MUTUAL-REDUNDANT
Degeneracygap q10/50/90 = 0.031 / 0.594 / 2.93 ยท cvx@0.25 = 1.02 / 1.83 / 2.84 โ€” informative spreadsnot degenerate
Verdicts (row 69)H-060: M3 CLEAR โ€” checkpoint, M4/M5โ€ฒ next ยท H-061: EXCLUDE(ฮท-fragile at census scale โ€” 0.897 < 0.90; knife-edge recorded, frozen rule applied) โ†’ BONEYARD with the cheap re-proposal path (derived ฮท / pre-registered narrower band)

โ–ถ Next iteration

Iteration 58 ยท 2026-07-10 ยท SPLIT (row 69): M3 CLEAR + EXCLUDE ยท capped (0.44 min) ยท readonly=2 ยท zero generated values ยท append-only ยท evidence: dro_cousins_m3_census.py ยท dro_cousins_m3_census_results.json