Iteration 61 โ H-063 V-REx EXCLUDED by Fate Transfer AFFINITY 0.982 ยท LOSS-SPREAD FAMILY 0-FOR-3
In plain words: the shadow named last iteration materialized precisely. The regime-unevenness candidate's rankings agree 98.2% with those of the just-executed worst-regime gap meter โ because variance and "worst minus average" are two arithmetic summaries of the SAME ten per-regime numbers, both dominated by the worst one. And we already know, from the gap meter's expensive finale, exactly what that reading does at the last hurdle: it actively harms verdicts, with a direction that flips between eras. So the twin inherits the verdict without us paying for a second doomed finale โ this is precisely why the affinity check was front-loaded. With that, a third whole school closes zero-for-N: per-regime-loss-spread readouts (gap, tail-excess, variance) join structure-learning and the earlier singles in the boneyard, each with its reason and repair path on file. Two candidates remain in the batch.
Preflight (A0): 2026-07-10 10:46 โ load1 5.87/32c (โค24) ยท no heavy jobs ยท 19 GiB avail, si/so=0 ยท CH + sidecar + kintsugi active โ ALL PASS. Sync: origin/main unchanged. One capped run, 0.51 min, readonly=2 loader, census model identical to row 69 (apples-to-apples), real rows only.
Census results (pre-registered rule in verex_m3_census.py)
Check
Reading
Ruling
Gap-affinity (DECISIVE)
Spearman(verex_var, the executed H-060 gap) = 0.982 over 130 subjects on the identical census model โ twin spread-summaries of the same per-env losses
RULE 1 FIRES โ fate transfer: inherits the row-70 harmful-M4 verdict without a finale spend
Secondary readings (recorded)
Worst stack |ฯ| = 0.623 (vs CD d_min) โ not otherwise redundant; var q10/50/90 = 0.0004 / 0.089 / 1.56 โ not degenerate. The kill is pure twinhood with a corpse.
clean elsewhere
Verdict (row 72)
EXCLUDE(fate transfer โ verex_var is the executed H-060's twin, Spearman 0.982) โ BONEYARD; re-proposal gate: a demonstrated temporally-stable transform first
THE PER-ENV-LOSS-SPREAD FAMILY โ 0 FOR 3 (the third school to fall):
H-061 CVaR tail-excess โ ฮท knife-edge 0.897 (row 69)
H-060 worst-group gap โ M4 actively harmful, (row 70)
temporally unstable direction
H-063 risk variance โ fate transfer, twin @ 0.982 (row 72)
one underlying object (the per-env loss vector), three summaries, one shared doom.
fallen schools so far: constraint-based structure learning (0/3) ยท loss-spread (0/3)
โถ Next iteration
Next firing: B-03 continues to H-064 multi-domain calibration gap โ entrance exam on the twin anchor (dossier flags: M1-borderline via ECE binning bias โ the binning choice is a dial to sweep or derive; trivial sklearn-style construction, but the readout is calibration divergence across regimes, a genuinely DIFFERENT object from the fallen loss-spread family: it reads probability calibration, not loss magnitude). Then H-062 W-DRO (IID-certificate M2 risk โ block recalibration required) and H-028 CCM (heaviest, surrogate machinery) close B-03. Standing for the operator: the 73 cycle-1 draft statuses (iters 11/13), the Frontier #4 precondition review, the ripening STABLE-declaration proposal, and PR #599 carrying 11 ADMITs + 14 kills.
Iteration 61 ยท 2026-07-10 ยท EXCLUDE (row 72, BONEYARD +1) โ the cheap kill the front-loaded check was built for ยท capped (0.51 min) ยท readonly=2 ยท zero generated values ยท append-only ยท evidence: verex_m3_census.py ยท verex_m3_census_results.json