Preflight (A0): 2026-07-10 11:06 โ load1 3.52/32c (โค24) ยท no heavy jobs ยท 19 GiB avail, si/so=0 ยท CH + sidecar + kintsugi active โ ALL PASS. Sync: origin/main unchanged. One capped run, 0.51 min, readonly=2 loader, real rows only (permutations of real PIT values per ยง0).
| Leg | Reading | Ruling |
| E1 โ perfect model reads zero divergence | Exact-zero residuals โ point-mass predictive โ pre-registered guard: perfectly calibrated everywhere, divergence = 0 (the F014-trap handling, clean) | PASS |
| E2 โ wrong model's divergence real (every B) | Divergence beats the 97.5th percentile of K=199 env-label permutations of the REAL PIT values at 5.8โ6.0ร โ the strongest null margin among the B-03 diagnostics | PASS |
| E3 โ binning dial (dossier flag) | B swept {10, 20, 50}: identical verdicts at every binning; the census-scale dial check remains decisive per the standing law | PASS |
| Named census adjacency (decisive) | IPP (ADMITTED row 43) reads per-feature distributional invariance via CRPS โ the calibration lens may be its shadow; census M3 vs ipp_n_acc + the standard stack + the loss-spread corpse-affinity check decide | IPP-SHADOW FIGHT NEXT |
| Verdict (row 73) | EXAM PASS โ checkpoint; ladder walk unlocked |
Iteration 62 ยท 2026-07-10 ยท CHECKPOINT (row 73) โ exam PASS ยท capped (0.51 min) ยท readonly=2 ยท zero generated values ยท append-only ยท evidence: calibration_gap_exam.py ยท calibration_gap_exam_results.json