Preflight (A0): 2026-07-10 11:45 โ load1 6.16/32c (โค24) ยท one 1-core external python job (under bar) ยท 26 GiB avail, si trickle/so=0 ยท CH + sidecar + kintsugi active โ ALL PASS. Sync: origin/main unchanged. One capped run, 3.03 min, readonly=2 loader, watchdog clean, leakage-safe expanding PIT (ฯ recomputed within windows 0..t).
| Leg | Reading | Ruling |
| M4 held-out incremental value | ฮAUC = +0.01406, CI95 [+0.00742, +0.01948] โ entirely positive, far outside the pairing-null band [โ0.0014, +0.0008], and nearly 2ร the previous best (Causal Dantzig and AndersonโRubin at +0.0073). The temporal-stability question answered by the leg itself. | PASS โ campaign record |
| M5โฒb direction | ฯ = โ0.159, CI entirely negative โ calibration-divergent features KEEP orthogonality more: the inverted mechanism's fourth sighting (verdict-stability ยท anchor lenses ยท divergence lens ยท now calibration). Fails the one-sided leg; the disjunction admits on M4. | LOGGED (discovery #4) |
| Novelty | max |ฯ| vs base gates = 0.244 โ not a repackaging | CLEAR |
| Verdict (row 75) | ADMIT(forex, 8-window EURUSD@5 regime grid, role = regime-calibration divergence meter โ the theorem-linked confidence-honesty channel, expiry = next completed forex regime slice) โ ADMIT #12; full trail rows 73 โ 74 โ 75 |
Iteration 64 ยท 2026-07-10 ยท ADMIT #12 (row 75) ยท capped (3.03 min) ยท readonly=2 ยท zero generated values ยท append-only ยท evidence: calibration_gap_m4_m5b.py ยท calibration_gap_m4_m5b_results.json