Preflight (A0): 2026-07-10 12:06 โ load1 6.48/32c (โค24) ยท 27 GiB avail ยท CH + sidecar + kintsugi active โ ALL PASS. Sync: origin/main unchanged. Docs-only firing โ ZERO compute; the ruling is grounded in the dossier's own M2 flag and the frozen trust-anchor doctrine.
| Question | Analysis | Ruling |
| Is the candidate's trust anchor valid here? | The certificate radius ฮต_n(ฮด) assumes IID concentration; serial dependence shrinks effective n by the mixing time โ the radius can be off by a large factor. The dossier itself: "finite-sample guarantees assume IID sampling โ block-resampled radius calibration." A gauge whose guarantee is void cannot anchor anything (the campaign's M1 doctrine). | NOT YET |
| Why not exam the guarantee-less margin? | Worst-case-loss-over-an-ฮต-ball without the certificate = a smoothed loss-functional readout โ the executed loss-spread family's territory (rows 69/70/72): a foregone fate-transfer that tests nothing the candidate claims. | DECLINED โ predictable kill of a strawman |
| The PROPOSAL (what a valid exam requires) | (1) Stationary/block-bootstrap radius calibration with a DERIVED block length โ the NW-lag derivation pattern (row 62) is the template; (2) certificate-coverage check against the 8 real regime-shift magnitudes of the FX window grid; (3) then the standard twin exam on the certified construction. | PUBLISHED |
| Go conditions | Operator direction to build (1)โ(2) as a dedicated frontier item, OR a dependence-robust W-DRO variant harvested (re-harvest lead filed for the harvest campaign's next sweep). | PARKED (row 76) |
Iteration 65 ยท 2026-07-10 ยท PARKED with PROPOSAL (row 76) ยท docs-only, zero compute ยท append-only ยท grounding: harvest CANDIDATE-CATALOG H-062 row ยท the frozen M1 trust-anchor doctrine ยท rows 69/70/72 (the declined shortcut's fate)