โ€บNavigation

Iteration 67 โ€” B-04 Opens: MMD Passes Exam v2 Bit-Exactly NEW BATCH ยท EXAM PASS (v2) ยท M3 NEXT

In plain words: with the STABLE batches done, the queue turned to the boundary in worst shape: the FRAGILE-vs-CONDITIONAL split currently rests on a SINGLE certified instrument (the regime counter) โ€” a single point of failure the new batch of twelve exists to fix. Its cheapest candidate โ€” a kernel distance that asks "does this feature's value distribution differ between two regimes?" with no classifier and a built-in shuffle test โ€” passed its exam bit-exactly, after one instructive stumble: the first exam form demanded the distance between a series and its byte-twin read zero, but the textbook's UNBIASED estimator deliberately reads slightly negative on identical samples (a fact about the estimator, not a flaw) โ€” the exam was wrong, the campaign's own fix-the-exam-on-the-record precedent applied, and form v2's correct criterion (the twin must match the series' own self-distance to the last bit) passed with differences of exactly zero everywhere, while real regime differences rang the bell at up to fifty times the shuffle bar. Field test next, with the incumbent regime counter as the named comparison.

Preflight (A0): 2026-07-10 12:46 โ€” load1 4.86/32c (โ‰ค24) ยท one 1-core external python job (under bar) ยท 25 GiB avail, si trickle/so=0 ยท CH + sidecar + kintsugi active โ†’ ALL PASS. Sync: origin/main unchanged. Two capped runs (0.97 min each), readonly=2 loader, real rows only. Batch selection recorded: B-04 = most-starved actionable boundary; B-05 gated by the operator's Frontier-#4 deferral.

Exam results (forms v1 + v2, both on record โ€” mmd_exam.py / mmd_exam_v2.py)

LegReadingRuling
E1 v1 (mis-derived) โ†’ E1 v2 (corrected)v1 demanded |MMDยฒ(twin, dur)| โ‰ค 10โปโน; the unbiased U-statistic's identical-sample value is deterministically NEGATIVE (โˆ’2(1โˆ’kฬ„)/n; observed โˆ’5ร—10โปโดโ€ฆโˆ’8ร—10โปโด, matching the closed form). v2 criterion: bit-exact equality with the series' own self-distance โ€” diff = 0.0 exactly, all 3 envsv1 self-falsified โ†’ v2 PASS
E2 โ€” gauge consistencyTwin and duration cross-regime readings bit-identical for every regime pair (diff 0.0)PASS
E3 โ€” the boundary role + paper-native nullReal cross-regime heterogeneity beats the K=199 permutation null in every pair: 3.5ร— (goldโ†”covid) ยท 33ร— (goldโ†”midcycle) ยท 49.8ร— (midcycleโ†”covid)PASS
Dial auditBandwidth = median heuristic (derived, the row-45 convention) ยท unbiased U-statistic (paper-native) ยท K = campaign standard โ€” no free dialsZERO DIALS
Verdict (row 78)EXAM PASS (form v2) โ€” B-04 open; ladder next with the k_v-incumbent and IPP/calgap adjacencies named

โ–ถ Next iteration

Iteration 67 ยท 2026-07-10 ยท CHECKPOINT (row 78) โ€” B-04 OPENED ยท exam PASS (v2, v1 self-falsification recorded) ยท capped (0.97 min ร—2) ยท readonly=2 ยท zero generated values ยท append-only ยท evidence: mmd_exam.py ยท mmd_exam_v2.py ยท both result JSONs