โ€บNavigation

Iteration 86 โ€” H-093 GW-CPA EXCLUDED KILL #26 ยท DIAL LAW 0.868 โ€” THE CLOSEST MISS ยท EXAM-INTEL FOR H-092

In plain words: the declaration layer's opening candidate died the campaign's narrowest death. Recomputed on a slightly smaller data sample, its feature ranking agreed 86.8% with itself โ€” the bar is 90%, and the rule fires mechanically: an instrument whose rankings reshuffle a tenth under an innocuous data-volume change certifies nothing. What makes this kill different from the floor statistic's (73.5%) is everything else: against the entire certified stack its worst overlap was 37% โ€” the cleanest sheet any candidate has shown โ€” and its named-adjacency fights (the calibration meter, the flip counter) were won outright. Two durable goods fell out. First, intelligence: the regime-conditioned reading genuinely differs from the plain unconditional test (74% related, well under echo territory) โ€” so the next candidate in line, the classic Dieboldโ€“Mariano, is NOT pre-killed and enters on its own merits. Second, a precise successor prescription on the boneyard: a variance-stabilized version of this exact instrument is the batch's most promising revisit โ€” the information is demonstrably there; only the estimator wobbles.

Preflight (A0): 2026-07-10 21:06 โ€” load1 1.97/32c (the quietest yet) ยท no heavy nasimubd jobs ยท 35 GiB avail, si/soโ‰ˆ0 ยท all four services active โ†’ ALL PASS. Sync: main up-to-date, worktree 0 behind. One capped run (0.38 min), readonly=2 loader, deterministic.

M3 census (gw_cpa_m3_census.py, 121/123 scored)

CheckReadingRuling
NSUB dial law (THE KILL)ฯ(cpa@1000, cpa@1500) = 0.868 < 0.90 โ€” the closest miss on record (MRP: 0.735); mechanism: expanding-forecast paths + HAC-inverse sensitivity at moderate n, not an extreme statisticFAIL
Self-redundancy (pre-registered as H-092 intel)ฯ(conditional, unconditional) = 0.736 โ€” the regime-conditioning genuinely reads structure plain DM misses; H-092 is NOT pre-killedCLEAR ยท INTEL
Named adjacenciescalgap โˆ’0.344 ยท k_v 0.127 โ€” both fights won outrightCLEAR
Full stack gridworst |ฯ| = 0.372 โ€” the cleanest sheet of the campaign (best prior: RBO's 0.629)CLEAR
Verdict (row 97)EXCLUDE(subsample-fragile โ€” 0.868) โ€” KILL #26, BONEYARD #41 ยท successor prescription: a variance-controlled CPA readout (p-value scale / stabilized covariance / longer windows) is the batch's most promising revisit

โ–ถ Next iteration

Iteration 86 ยท 2026-07-10 ยท VERDICT (row 97) โ€” EXCLUDE ยท kill #26 ยท boneyard #41 ยท capped (0.38 min) ยท readonly=2 ยท zero generated values ยท append-only ยท evidence: gw_cpa_m3_census.py ยท gw_cpa_m3_census_results.json