โ€บNavigation

Iteration 96 โ€” H-005 Regime-MCI EXCLUDED KILL #36 ยท THE CLOSEST DOOR MISS (0.88ร—) ยท STRONGEST RE-PROPOSAL CASE

In plain words: the different-family candidate lived up to its billing โ€” and died the campaign's narrowest door-law death, which is itself information. The instrument reads whether trading intensity CAUSES the next bar's duration, with each series' own past accounted for (the trap that makes plain correlation lie about causation on autocorrelated data). Its design deliberately removed the significance-level knob that killed both of its family's earlier candidates. The link is real: intensity genuinely drives the next bar's duration in the crash and the calm alike, with the sensible negative sign โ€” more intensity, shorter bars. And unlike the four tail meters, its reading DOES look regime-varying: fifty percent stronger in the covid crash. But the difference (0.043) fell just short of the noise floor (0.049) โ€” an 88% ratio where the tail meters scored 1 to 18 percent. The frozen rule fires, and re-running at a bigger sample in the same breath would be threshold-hacking, so it isn't done. Instead the boneyard records the batch's strongest re-proposal case: the same pre-registered form on full windows โ€” one power lever, zero design changes โ€” plausibly resolves it. One candidate remains; the batch closes next firing either way.

Preflight (A0): 2026-07-11 00:26 โ€” load1 5.89/32c (falling) ยท no heavy nasimubd jobs ยท 29 GiB avail, si/soโ‰ˆ0 ยท all four services active โ†’ ALL PASS. Sync: main +1 (ADR #592) โ€” rebased cleanly (60 commits; force-with-lease). One capped run (0.39 min), readonly=2 loader, shifts + block re-splits of real values (03c).

Exam results (regime_mci_exam.py โ€” ฮฑ-free continuous MCI by design)

LegReadingRuling
Design choice (the family lessons, rows 47/55)The reading is the CONTINUOUS MCI strength โ€” the ฮฑ dial that killed PCMCI+ and LPCMCI was removed at the design stage, not sweptLESSON APPLIED
E1 โ€” substitution certaintyBit-equal, all envsPASS
E2 โ€” link reality (shift nulls, the row-99 lesson)covid โˆ’0.131 (1.91ร—) ยท midcycle โˆ’0.088 (1.44ร—) ยท gold โˆ’0.053 (0.72ร—, misses) โ€” the causal link is real, with the sensible negative signPASS (covid + 2/3)
E3 โ€” the door law (THE KILL, narrowly)|โˆ’0.1307 โˆ’ (โˆ’0.0875)| = 0.0432 vs null 0.0492 โ€” ratio 0.88, the closest miss on record (tail kills: 0.01โ€“0.18); the link is 50% stronger in the crash โ€” real-looking variation, under-powered at NSUB=1500FAIL
Verdict (row 108)EXCLUDE(under-powered regime variation โ€” 0.88ร—) โ€” KILL #36, BONEYARD #51 ยท the batch's STRONGEST re-proposal case: the same pre-registered form on full windows (one power lever, no design change). No same-firing rerun โ€” that would be threshold-hacking

โ–ถ Next iteration

Iteration 96 ยท 2026-07-11 ยท VERDICT (row 108) โ€” EXCLUDE ยท kill #36 ยท boneyard #51 ยท capped (0.39 min) ยท readonly=2 ยท zero generated values ยท append-only ยท evidence: regime_mci_exam.py ยท regime_mci_exam_results.json