Iteration 13 — EXPIRY screen S-04 5 PASS · 1 OUT · 4 UNSCREENABLE NO FEED TRIGGER — HONEST SHORTFALL

In plain words: interrogation round for the EXPIRY boundary — the instruments that watch a live verdict rot and raise the alarm. Of the ten catalogued, only six could legally face the gates: four scaffold-era entries still lack a verified primary paper (the campaign's no-hearsay rule bites its own early work — they're named, not screened, and resolving their citations is now a listed task). Five of the six passed, four of them with guarantees printed in their own papers — false-alarm-rate control, forever-valid bands, a betting martingale's built-in bound, and fat-tail-proof quantile tracking. The framework paper that spawned this whole family went out as expected: frameworks inspire instruments but aren't instruments (the same principled exit as the theory anchors before it). The headline is the number that DIDN'T happen: five passers is below the ten needed for a handoff batch, and the rulebook forbids padding — so the shortfall is reported as a finding, with the exact refill path named. Separately, the web-search channel (trading-phrased, so it answered) surfaced one new lead: a 2026 regime-performance-persistence framework already validated on crypto factors.

 10 EXPIRY entries
    ├─ 4 UNSCREENABLE: H-011 ACI · H-012 BOCPD · H-013 D3 · H-014 PWPAE
    │    (scaffold-era, primary papers still unresolved — the no-hearsay rule
    │     applies to our own early rows too; provenance-completion task listed)
    ▼  6 face M0/M1
 1 OUT (OFF-GOAL): H-003 SAVI — the FRAMEWORK; its four concrete instruments
                   are catalogued separately (theory-root retention)
    ▼
 5 SCREENED-M0M1-PASS · below the 10-entry feed threshold
    → NO B-04 — shortfall reported per the quantity-honesty rule
    → refill path: resolve the 4 pending provenances + families 3/5/6/18