In plain words: the forecast-comparison classics passed clean โ the third consecutive perfect screen, all three following the same recipe the campaign learned the hard way in iterations 19โ21: harvest against the boundary's own bar and the screen finds only survivors. All four carry guarantees printed in their papers (a corrected asymptotic test, a state-conditional Wald test, a dependence-aware bootstrap null, and a set-coverage guarantee) โ no hand-built anchors in this cohort at all. Regime-scoping now holds twelve vetted passers, two over the handoff threshold. Next firing publishes the sixth batch โ and with it, every boundary in the status machine will have candidate instruments sitting on the certification lab's shelf: the invariance testers, the redundancy detectors, the k-of-N evidence machines, the decay-watchers, and the regime characterizers with their declaration layer. From there, the campaign's remaining road is depth, not breadth: the long climb toward the per-boundary minimums, led by STABLE's 67-entry gap.
The four (all paper-native anchors)
id
Instrument
M1 anchor
H-092
DieboldโMariano
HAC asymptotics + small-sample correction
H-093
GiacominiโWhite CPA
state-conditional Wald test, rolling-scheme-valid
H-094
Hansen SPA
stationary-bootstrap null
H-095
Model Confidence Set
set-coverage guarantee
Coverage counters after this firing
Boundary
Minimum
Verified
Screened-pass
Fed
STABLE
100
33
23
23
FRAGILE↔CONDITIONAL
60
14
12
12
CONDITIONAL-scoping
40
14
12 (pending)
0
FAIL
40
13
10
10
EXPIRY
40
16
11
11
cross-cutting
20
5
0
0
Total
300
95
68
56
โถ Next iteration
Iteration 27 = publish feed batch B-06 (COND-scoping, 12 entries) โ the sixth handoff: cheapest-kill-first with the declaration-layer/characterization-layer squad structure and the GW conditional test likely leading (native form of the boundary's question, trivial construction). After B-06 lands, every boundary has fed โ a strong operator merge point for PR #582 โ and the campaign pivots from breadth to depth: STABLE's 67-gap (GROW variants, parked leads, fresh pushes), then FRAGILEโCOND's 46.
Steering point: no directive = B-06 publishes next firing. Directives are ledger-recorded verbatim before taking effect.
Machine-readable record: ledger row 31 + catalog ยงS-09. WebSearch: blocked this firing (recorded). Pages are append-only.