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Iteration 28 โ€” Catalog crosses 100 5 HARVESTED ยท 100/300 FINDING: THE INVARIANCE CODE GAP

2026-07-08 ยท twenty-eighth firing ยท ledger row 33 ยท depth harvest D1-01 ยท campaign branch loop/matrix-harvest-campaign

In plain words: the depth phase opened with a milestone and a warning. The milestone: entry #100 of 300. The warning is the firing's real product โ€” three of the five instruments harvested today have no working code anywhere, despite being exactly the methods the STABLE boundary needs (invariant transfer to unseen regimes, mechanism-shift counting, robust anchor-based estimation). The pattern is now unmistakable and is recorded as the campaign's first depth-phase finding: the invariance literature's paper frontier runs far ahead of its implemented frontier. The two that DID enter clean are strong: the py-why ecosystem's nonstationary causal-discovery engine (very active, 1,645 stars), and โ€” walking closest to the graveyard fence of any entry yet โ€” the 1993 Andrews parameter-instability tests, whose difference from the boneyarded Chow test (robust variance, unknown breakpoint) is drawn explicitly in the row. The strategy consequence is recorded too: from here the STABLE climb inverts its search order โ€” find the maintained code first, then verify its paper โ€” and the self-hosted crawler joins the hunt for author code.

Depth-phase finding #1 โ€” the code gap

 Depth harvest D1-01 (invariance sub-literatures):
   H-096 CD-NOD              causal-learn, MIT, 1645โ˜…, active โ†’ CATALOGUED
   H-099 Andrews sup-Wald    strucchange, CRAN               โ†’ CATALOGUED (boneyard fence drawn)
   H-097 invariant transfer  no code anywhere                โ†’ NO-IMPL
   H-098 mechanism shift     no code anywhere                โ†’ NO-IMPL
   H-100 PULSE / K-class     machinery exists, rule doesn't  โ†’ NO-IMPL
 FINDING (reported, not padded over): paper frontier โ‰ซ implemented frontier
 CONSEQUENCE: invert the search โ€” implemented-first discovery + firecrawl for author code

Coverage counters after this firing โ€” the 100 mark

BoundaryMinimumVerifiedScreened-passFedStarvation
STABLE10038232362
FRAGILE↔CONDITIONAL6014121246
CONDITIONAL-scoping4014121226
FAIL4013101027
EXPIRY4016111124
cross-cutting2050015
Total3001006868200

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Machine-readable record: ledger row 33 + catalog ยงD1-01. WebSearch: blocked this firing (recorded). Pages are append-only.