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Campaigns

Every campaign in this repository, what state it is in, and the evidence that state was derived from. Statuses are lifecycle — where the work sits in its process. They say nothing about whether a campaign's findings were good; a result is reported as numbers with its uncertainty.

29 SETTLED 6 HALTED6 LEGACY

LEGACY marks a folder created before the YYYY-MM-DD-slug convention. It is a provenance fact and does not replace the lifecycle status — an undated campaign can still be provably settled.

Stopped — needs an operator decision 6

A stop rule fired, an operator stopped it, or it was abandoned mid-flight. Each row names what would unblock it.

CampaignWhy it carries this status
Crypto Fractal Multifractal Chaos 10 Candidate Orthogonality Evaluation
campaigns · 2026-06-06 · iter 10 · 11 pages
Blocked on operator — reconcile the spike ledger against the published pages, then resume or close · since 2026-06-06
CONTRADICTION, not completion. The dashboard shows 10 iterations and '6 PASS 4 WATCH 0 BAN 0 Pending', but spike_2026-06-05-fractal-chaos/LOOP_LEDGER.json holds exactly one entry — bar_higuchi_fd, verdict PENDING, n_cells 0, eligible false — timestamped 20h BEFORE the dashboard's last update. The index promises a cross-candidate matrix 'resolved at Finish' and no Finish artifact exists (sibling campaigns have crosscheck.html / CROSS_CANDIDATE_FINDINGS.md). This is the campaign a status backfill would most easily have marked SETTLED by mistake.
Matrix Admission Paradox Loop
campaigns · 2026-07-02 · iter 103 · 103 pages
Blocked on operator — ADR-LIVE-EXPIRY ratification and Frontier-#4 review (both unblock B-05) · since 2026-07-14
Parked by operator directive. manifest: 'PARKED (row 117) — all actionable evaluation complete: 57/68 … B-05 gated on Frontier-#4 … ADR-LIVE-EXPIRY proposed (4 questions open)'; next_iteration 'NONE — PARKED per operator directive 2026-07-14 (row 112)'. Its 'PR #599 OPEN' claim is stale (#599 merged 2026-07-20) — the real blocks are the two operator reviews, not the PR.
Matrix Harvest Status Grounding Loop
campaigns · 2026-07-04 · iter 32 · 33 pages
Blocked on operator — resume, convert to slow-refill cadence, or close (its own three options) · since 2026-07-09
manifest: 'STOPPED BY OPERATOR 2026-07-09 (iter 32; resume via LOOP-PROMPT.md — queue preserved: S-11 -> B-07 -> cross-cutting)', then 'Operator decision: resume, convert to slow-refill cadence, or close the campaign'. Coverage 108 of target 300 — stopped at ~36% of declared scope.
Rotation Orthogonal Probe Operational Campaign
campaigns · 2026-07-08 · iter 20 · 21 pages
Blocked on operator ruling (handoff H8) + issue #698, which is OPEN and blocks the production read path · since 2026-07-17
Self-contradictory, plus a LIVE blocker. manifest claims 'OPERATIONAL (H8 ruled 2026-07-10) … WIRING FOLLOW-UP in progress', while next_iteration says 'CONVERGED — ROBUST-ENOUGH — OPERATOR REVIEW (handoff H8). The loop idles…' with blocking true and 7 kernels still missing. H8 cannot be both ruled and blocking. Independently, issue #698 is OPEN: 'probe.fetch_cell OOMs (Code 241 at 5 GiB) … the rotation probe's production path cannot read these two cells at all'.
Axis2 Cascade Free Evaluation
campaigns · 2026-07-24 · iter 16 · 7 pages
Blocked on operator decisions A16, A17, A19 — the loop has no unblocked work · since 2026-07-31
manifest: 'NOT OPERATIONAL (2026-07-31). 0 of 120 decided.' with decided 0, cohort_size 120, admitted 0, rejected 0, what_held 'no candidate verdict was ever written'; iteration 13 'blocks_next: all three are operator decisions; the loop has no unblocked work'. SEPARATE DEFECT for Phase 2: manifest rows 7/8/9 name iteration pages that do not exist on disk and rows 10/11/13/15/16 carry page null — 10 of 16 firings are unpublished, so the dashboard understates this campaign by ~62%.
Probe Hardening Loop
campaigns · 2026-07-29 · iter 14 · 16 pages
Blocked on operator — pre-registration of the outstanding dials, plus a full-width bigblack read · since 2026-07-30
Cap reached, definition-of-done NOT met. LOOP_PROMPT.md: 'STATUS: CAP REACHED 2026-07-30. 14 iterations run, 14 of 17 items addressed, loop stopped and its cron cancelled.' Attack items L-3/L-4/L-5 remain 'OPEN — not reached before the cap'; final page: 'Neither probe can certify a candidate yet.'

Settled 29

Reached a terminal state on its own rules. Says nothing about whether the findings were good.

CampaignWhy it carries this status
Crypto Orthogonal Feature Families
campaigns · 2026-05-08 · iter 0 · 7 pages
CATALOGUE, TERMINAL. This campaign is the rendered form of the 2026-05-08 orthogonal-features-btcusd audit: 64 candidate features for BTCUSD grouped into four families, each anchored to a paper ID plus a FOSS commit SHA plus a not-already-covered attestation. Its audit verdict.md closes Phase 1 — the evidence requirement is met — and states plainly that no candidate has been empirically spiked here; spiking is the downstream campaigns' work, and those ran (fractal/chaos, entropy, CECP, GCM+O-info). DONE means the catalogue is complete and nothing in it is pending, NOT that the features were adopted.
Forex Parameterless Orthogonal Candidate Discovery
campaigns · 2026-06-03 · iter 8 · 30 pages
Operator ruling, 2026-08-14: this campaign is settled. Recorded as a ruling rather than re-derived from the folder — the file-based reading that preceded it is kept verbatim in _status_evidence_superseded so the disagreement stays visible. Read as stopped rather than exhausted: iteration 8 was a rebound (+7 candidates, 2 new families) sitting directly above iteration 7, the first dry one, and the loop stopped anyway. The operator rules the discovery settled.
Forex Chatterjee Xi Keeper Confirmation
campaigns · 2026-06-06 · iter 3 · 4 pages
index.html: 'Phase 5 DONE: verdict-stage Attacker/Defender (10 challenges)'. Its page still says 'BOTH PRs OPEN — for your review, DO NOT MERGE: #86 and #87'; VERIFIED FALSE — mql5#87 merged 2026-06-07T01:10:23Z. Reaching PR-open IS this contract's terminal state, and the merge has since happened, so there is nothing to wait on.
Forex Orthogonal Candidate Discovery Batch 3 4
campaigns · 2026-06-06 · iter 6 · 7 pages
iter-06: 'no new decision => second consecutive dry iteration => loop-until-dry K=2 -> STOP'; index badge 'FINAL — loop dry (K=2), STOP', 'Final, locked: 15 KEEP · 4 DROP · 1 HOLD'. Its own stop rule fired on exhaustion.
Crypto Gcm Oinfo Orthogonality Selection
campaigns · 2026-06-07 · iter 6 · 7 pages
manifest.json verdict {GCM: WATCH, O-information: WATCH}; iteration 6 titled 'Final verdict — both WATCH (not promoted)'. Terminal: a decision was reached and recorded.
Forex Orthogonal Feature Implementation
campaigns · 2026-06-07 · iter 10 · 13 pages
index.html: 'CAMPAIGN COMPLETE (2026-06-09, laptop run) — 9 of 9 implementable features shipped + bootstrap', '10 / 10 PRs ✓'. VERIFIED: mql5#99 merged 2026-06-10T11:17:59Z — the merge the page awaits has happened, so no waiting block is recorded.
Three Axis Probe Formalization
campaigns · 2026-06-09 · iter 5 · 6 pages
manifest verdict: 'FORMALIZED — three probes + one promotion gate; agnostic axis provenance-corrected'. No open queue, no next_iteration.
Bar Cecp Velocity Implementation
campaigns · 2026-06-10 · iter 7 · 1 pages
index.html (2026-06-13 06:51 UTC): 'I marked the loop DONE and stopped it — the recurring schedule is cancelled, and no further firings will run.' Operator-closed with the cron cancelled.
Crypto Cecp Statistical Complexity Orthogonality Evaluation
campaigns · 2026-06-10 · iter 3 · 5 pages
index.html: '3 Candidates 1 PASS 1 WATCH 1 BAN 0 Pending' — slate exhausted — AND crosscheck.html 'Finish · cross-candidate matrix … generated 2026-06-10 05:07 UTC'. Both the slate and the Finish step completed, which is what distinguishes this from its fractal-chaos sibling.
Forward Orthogonality Matrix Scale Evaluation
campaigns · 2026-06-12 · iter 14 · 15 pages
manifest status 'E4 COMPLETE'; iteration 14 'FINAL: E4 verdict — skill, calibration, stamps all CONFIRMED'.
Candidate Registry Robustness Sota
campaigns · 2026-06-16 · iter 11 · 12 pages
All 11 manifest rows status DONE; iteration 11 'Semantic Tier-3 (abbreviation expansion) — the last gap closed, blueprint complete'.
Crypto Forex Parameterless Discovery 100
campaigns · 2026-06-17 · iter 0 · 2 pages
Operator ruling, 2026-08-14: this campaign is settled. Recorded as a ruling rather than re-derived from the folder — the file-based reading that preceded it is kept verbatim in _status_evidence_superseded so the disagreement stays visible. The scaffold was read as never-fired (target 100, tally 0, only an iter-00 'sweep initialized' page). The operator rules the work complete and the campaign settled.
Crypto Orthogonal Candidate Evaluation
campaigns · 2026-06-17 · iter 11 · 13 pages
LOOP_LEDGER.json last_status: 'P5_DONE @ 2026-06-17T17:50:44Z: MISSION COMPLETE. … LOOP COMPLETE.' The loop's own terminal phase, self-declared.
Forex Batch34 Orthogonal Feature Implementation
campaigns · 2026-06-17 · iter 0 · 6 pages
Operator ruling, 2026-08-14: this campaign is settled. Recorded as a ruling rather than re-derived from the folder — the file-based reading that preceded it is kept verbatim in _status_evidence_superseded so the disagreement stays visible. The scaffold was read as never-triggered (handoff: 'Loop idle in tmux, awaiting your trigger'; all four feature pages 'QUEUED — not started'). The operator rules it settled.
Forex Orthogonal Candidate Evaluation
campaigns · 2026-06-17 · iter 21 · 23 pages
2026-08-14 reconciliation, HALTED -> DONE. The declared scope was completed and merged under a successor campaign that is itself settled, so the ledger's open question — re-run the final 9 kernels? — is answered by evidence rather than awaiting a decision.
Bar Orth Batch5 Implementation
campaigns · 2026-06-19 · iter 14 · 15 pages
2026-08-14 reconciliation, HALTED -> DONE. The declared scope (8 features plus one open PR) was met in full, the sole cited blocker is closed, and the PR is merged — halted by neglect was the right reading before that was checked, and wrong after.
Forex Batch34 Rqw Crex Implementation
campaigns · 2026-06-24 · iter 3 · 4 pages
index.html: 'The loop is complete: all three PRs are now OPEN as a stack (#124 -> #126 -> #127), every gate green and parity bit-exact-class.' VERIFIED: mql5#127 merged 2026-06-25T09:49:51Z.
Bar Orth Batch6 Implementation
campaigns · 2026-07-01 · iter 13 · 14 pages
2026-08-14 reconciliation, HALTED -> DONE. Three of four features shipped and merged; the fourth's gating ruling was overtaken by a BAN verdict from a different campaign, so no implementable work remains inside this scope.
Forex Orthogonal Candidate Evaluation
campaigns · 2026-07-02 · iter 5 · 7 pages
LOOP_LEDGER morning_handoff: 'EVALUATION COMPLETE, PROMOTION YOURS.'; iter-3 metrics 'loop: TERMINAL next firing (S8)'. Contract §8 stop condition met, and the promotion was consumed downstream 2026-07-07.
Forex B5 10 Orthogonal Feature Implementation
campaigns · 2026-07-07 · iter 6 · 12 pages
2026-08-14 reconciliation, HALTED -> DONE. The run's contracted scope — bootstrap plus the operator-gated first five, then stop — completed with zero deferrals and its stop rule satisfied. The second half is a new run that only an operator decision can open, which is discretion rather than a blocker. Stated fairly: the board is titled 10x, so campaign-level scope is half-built; that half was never triggered by design, not by failure.
Crypto Cost Realism Labels
campaigns · 2026-07-08 · iter 7 · 8 pages
index.html, corrected against merged reality by commit 3c184338: 'LOOP DONE (saturated 2026-07-14). … the operator merged PRs #618 + #619 on 2026-07-14, and the BTC backfill ran and passed its coverage audit on 2026-07-15 (5.96M labels, ~100% non-null).' NOTE its manifest.json still reads 'ACTIVE — implementation authorized 2026-07-11' — stale, missed by that sweep, and superseded here.
Realness Grounding Loop
campaigns · 2026-07-22 · iter 34 · 35 pages
manifest: 'CAMPAIGN-COMPLETE — all 20 instruments terminal (19 GROUNDED, 1 REJECTED); loop ended 2026-07-24 (iter 34)'; nature 'BOUNDED (20 candidates #0-#19 -> STOP)'; graduation_tally terminal 20/20.
Regime Invariant Orthogonality Campaign
campaigns · 2026-07-22 · iter 6 · 7 pages
2026-08-14 reconciliation, HALTED -> SATURATED. The harvest delivered a frozen, downstream-consumed cohort and has no completion criterion by design; more firings would only widen a list that is already frozen elsewhere. That is saturation, not a stop.
Candidates
campaigns · LEGACY · iter 0 · 3 pages
Operator ruling, 2026-08-14: this campaign is settled. Recorded as a ruling rather than re-derived from the folder — the file-based reading that preceded it is kept verbatim in _status_evidence_superseded so the disagreement stays visible. Read as an abandoned fragment: two orphan per-candidate pages, no index, and a requested re-test ('time-matched samples or within-regime KS') with no evidence it ran. The operator rules it settled.
Codec Foci Runs
campaigns · LEGACY · iter 0 · 2 pages
Operator ruling, 2026-08-14: this campaign is settled. Recorded as a ruling rather than re-derived from the folder — the file-based reading that preceded it is kept verbatim in _status_evidence_superseded so the disagreement stays visible. Read as gate-passed but cascade-incomplete: selection.html records 'Deployment BLOCKED on Terry' with 2 of 3 cascade stages lacking an analytic null. The operator rules the run evidence settled.
Entropy
campaigns · LEGACY · iter 8 · 9 pages
spike_2026-06-02-entropy/LOOP_CONTRACT.md frontmatter 'status: DONE, iteration: 8'; ledger: 'WORK-LIST COMPLETE (8/8). … cross-candidate matrix … Cron 7f585874 deleted. LOOP DONE.' Exit condition (all 8 candidates + the matrix) met verbatim. Gated, not exempt: it carries a real contract and 8 numbered iterations despite reading like a feature-family grouping.
Matrix Evaluation For Orthogonality
campaigns · LEGACY · iter 7 · 8 pages
manifest: 'evaluator_pass: COMPLETE (all 6 reported)'; questions_resolved 4, partial 2, pending 0. Its page still says 'Do NOT merge PR #543' — stale, #543 merged 2026-08-07. Gated rather than exempt despite the undated slug: it has a campaign name, 7 numbered iterations, a question contract and an audit twin.
Shared Artifacts
campaigns · LEGACY · iter 0 · 19 pages
SUBSTRATE, NOT A LOOP — kept in the gate anyway so it cannot sit outside the accounting. index: 'The single substrate folder every orthogonality probe reads from — the locked data scope, the registries, and the rotation engine … One shared pantry for the research.' No iteration pages, no contract, no stop rule. DONE means stable and nothing pending, NOT that a campaign concluded; the LEGACY marker plus this note is what distinguishes the two.
Spikes
campaigns · LEGACY · iter 0 · 7 pages
FINISHED SHOWCASE. index: 'Audit · 2026-05-16 -> 2026-05-20 · SHOWCASE PHASE 2 EMPIRICAL — 6 SPIKES · 9 COMMITS · BIGBLACK-REPLICATED', 'Symbols replicated 3 / 3 — BTC + ETH + ADA all IAAFT-validated REAL'. Six named spike pages rather than index_iter_*; terminal by construction. Carries a known broken link (provenance/commits.html, 6 pages) for Phase 2.
Generated by findings/dashboard/build_nav.py from each campaign's LOOP_LEDGER.json — never hand-edited, so it cannot drift from the chips in the navigation rail. Coverage is enforced by findings/dashboard/check_campaign_status.py: a campaign with no derivable status fails the build rather than rendering a reassuring default.