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Instruments campaigns

2 campaigns

Each card opens that campaign, its closing reconciliation and its iteration pages. Chips are lifecycle โ€” where the work sits in its process, never a judgement of what it found.

SETTLEDLEGACY2 pages

Codec Foci Runs

Operator ruling, 2026-08-14: this campaign is settled. Recorded as a ruling rather than re-derived from the folder โ€” the file-based reading that preceded it is kept verbatim in _status_evidence_superseded so the disagreement staysโ€ฆ

Open campaign โ†—
SETTLEDLEGACY7 pages

Spikes

FINISHED SHOWCASE. index: 'Audit ยท 2026-05-16 -> 2026-05-20 ยท SHOWCASE PHASE 2 EMPIRICAL โ€” 6 SPIKES ยท 9 COMMITS ยท BIGBLACK-REPLICATED', 'Symbols replicated 3 / 3 โ€” BTC + ETH + ADA all IAAFT-validated REAL'. Six named spike pages rโ€ฆ

Open campaign โ†—
In this hub

Campaigns live under campaigns/ โ€” one directory for all of them, each with its lifecycle status and the evidence behind it.

Orthogonality measurement instruments ยท BTCUSD-applicable
PHASE 2 ยท SELECTION SWEEPฮพ SELECTION-PARTIALCODEC SKIPPED ยท O-INFO REWORKED

๐Ÿ“ Measurement Instruments Dashboard

State-of-the-art metrics for measuring feature orthogonality in financial time-series forecasting. The full catalog spans 3 tiers ร— 8 categories, with FOSS implementation status verified per metric. Catalog answers a different question from the 64-candidate sibling audit: this is the tools, that was the things being measured.

Phase 2 update โ€” Selection sweep run; ฮพ validated (Selection-partial), CODEC skipped, O-info reworked

The CODEC/FOCI cascade was run through the Selection gates (S0โ€“S5). Chatterjee ฮพ (A1 pairwise) is the only validated sieve โ€” S1/S2/S3/S5 PASS โ€” but value-add over the Pearson/Spearman baseline is unproven (S4 deferred: the redundant/orthogonal labels are Pearson-derived, so the test is circular). CODEC (A2) is skipped โ€” nearly inert on the crypto panel (0.16 flags/cell, T(canary)โ‰ˆ0) and no faithful FOSS null. O-information (A3) is de-scoped to a cheap bias-centered permutation-null watch (the naive |ฮฉ|โ‰ฅ0.5 flag manufactures false synergy). Feasible replacements for the conditional/synergy gap: GCM, RCoT (A2) and the bias-centered O-info permutation null (A3) โ€” see the priority list. Max achievable verdict is Selection-partial until a Pearson-independent S4 label exists; deployment stays ๐Ÿ”’ BLOCKED on Terry.

Catalog totals

Total catalog
100
rows · 87 distinct metrics
Tier A
59
direct measurement
Tier B
19
adjacent question
Tier C
22
downstream consumer
Permissive FOSS
46
MIT/BSD/Apache

8 categories across 3 tiers

measure · adjacent · downstream

Tier A · Measurement

4 categories · 59 metrics
๐Ÿ”— TIER A ยท A1 โ€” PAIRWISE DEPENDENCE Measurement 27 metrics

A1 โ€” Pairwise dependence (incl. MI estimators)

Fills gap: Non-linear redundancy (ฮพ: S1/S2/S3/S5 PASS; value-add pending S4)

Top pick: Chatterjee ฮพโ‚™ โ€” xicorpy (MIT) โ€” VALIDATED (Selection-partial)

27 metrics ยท 11 permissive FOSS ยท 10 GPL ยท 1 unpackaged

๐Ÿงญ TIER A ยท A2 โ€” CONDITIONAL DEPENDENCE Measurement 11 metrics

A2 โ€” Conditional dependence

Fills gap: Conditional redundancy (CODEC SKIPPED โ€” inert on substrate + no faithful FOSS null)

Top pick: GCM / RCoT โ€” GeneralisedCovarianceMeasure (CRAN) ยท RCIT/RCoT (causal-learn)

11 metrics ยท 2 permissive FOSS ยท 7 GPL

๐Ÿ”บ TIER A ยท A3 โ€” HIGHER-ORDER / SYNERGY Measurement 6 metrics

A3 โ€” Higher-order / synergy

Fills gap: Synergy (higher-order) โ€” de-scoped to a cheap permutation-null watch

Top pick: O-information + permutation null โ€” hoi (BSD-3) โ€” bias-centered shuffle null; naive |ฮฉ|โ‰ฅ0.5 flag dropped

6 metrics ยท 3 permissive FOSS ยท 2 GPL ยท 1 unpackaged

๐Ÿงฎ TIER A ยท A4 โ€” MATRIX DECOMPOSITION Measurement 15 metrics

A4 โ€” Matrix decomposition / RMT / spectral

Fills gap: Matrix-level orthogonality

Top pick: Marchenko-Pastur + RIE โ€” pyRMT (BSD-style)

15 metrics ยท 10 permissive FOSS ยท 5 GPL

Tier B · Adjacent

2 categories · 19 metrics
โžก๏ธ TIER B ยท B1 โ€” CAUSAL DIRECTION Adjacent 15 metrics

B1 โ€” Causal direction

Fills gap: Causal direction

Top pick: Reduced TE (Kirkley 2025) โ€” author GitHub (TBD)

15 metrics ยท 6 permissive FOSS ยท 7 GPL ยท 1 unpackaged

๐ŸŒ— TIER B ยท B2 โ€” REGIME STABILITY Adjacent 4 metrics

B2 โ€” Regime stability / distribution shift

Fills gap: Stability across regimes

Top pick: Sliced Wasserstein dependency โ€” POT (MIT)

4 metrics ยท 1 permissive FOSS ยท 1 GPL ยท 2 unpackaged

Tier C · Downstream

2 categories · 22 metrics
๐ŸŽฏ TIER C ยท C1 โ€” FDR-CONTROLLED SELECTION Downstream 14 metrics

C1 โ€” FDR-controlled feature selection

Fills gap: FDR aggregation (meta)

Top pick: DeepLINK-T + e-BH โ€” knockpy + e-BH (MIT + open)

14 metrics ยท 8 permissive FOSS ยท 3 GPL ยท 2 unpackaged

๐Ÿ’ผ TIER C ยท C2 โ€” FINANCE FRAMEWORKS Downstream 8 metrics

C2 โ€” Finance-specific applied frameworks

Fills gap: Portfolio-level orthogonality

Top pick: Lรณpez de Prado cMDA + HRP โ€” mlfinlab / PyPortfolioOpt (mixed)

8 metrics ยท 5 permissive FOSS

Catalog & verdicts

One-off documents, kept apart from the 8-category taxonomy above.

Source catalog (full markdown)