Why LLY

WATCH +0.0586

score +0.0586 sits in the WATCH band [+0.00, +0.20) of the published threshold table · snapshot 2026-09-03 17:00 UTC · point-in-time, never edited

Research and education only — not investment advice. Signal labels are research classifications, not buy/sell recommendations. Investment implication: none established — no buy, sell, or alpha conclusion is supported by this page.

Component breakdown (C1–C9, confidence-weighted composite)

C1 Price momentum w=0.12
+0.197
C2 Volume confirmation w=0.08
+0.000
volume feed not wired — zero-confidence by design (C2 challenger accrues in a parallel shadow table)
C3 Sector velocity w=0.12
-0.263
C4 Macro regime w=0.15
+0.600
macro-regime input frozen as of 2026-05-18 with staleness disclosure, pending macro engine restoration
C5 Oil/rates/FX w=0.05
+0.000
C6 Event impact w=0.18
-0.295
C7 Peer correlation w=0.10
+0.429
C8 Cascade effect w=0.12
+0.000
C9 Model trust w=0.08
-0.818

Weights are the published composite weights; component scores are the current snapshot's stored values. C6 event impact carries the highest single weight by design — evidence is meant to correct price-only signals, not echo them.

Evidence coverage — the four terms

77
ECS (0–100)
6
accepted events, 90d
16.6
days since latest event
3
distinct event types
1
substrate active (0/1)

Evidence Coverage v1 (registered protocol): how much evidence stands under this classification — coverage, not prediction.

Latest accepted events

INSIDER_SELL magnitude 1.00 · direction -1 · 4-parsed · 16.6 days ago
Jonsson Patrik S 6500 shares @ $1175.10 on 2026-08-17 ($7,638,150)
source filing ↗
INSIDER_SELL magnitude 0.47 · direction -1 · 4-parsed · 23.6 days ago
Zakrowski Donald A S 2000 shares @ $1185.01 on 2026-08-10 ($2,370,020)
source filing ↗
INSIDER_SELL magnitude 1.00 · direction -1 · 4-parsed · 24.6 days ago
Hakim Anat S 5000 shares @ $1190.00 on 2026-08-07 ($5,950,000)
source filing ↗
PRODUCT_LAUNCH magnitude 0.80 · direction +1 · 10-Q · 29.8 days ago
lly:MounjaroMember 2026-04-01 2026-06-30 0000059478 country:US lly:MounjaroMember 2025-04-01 2025-06-30
source filing ↗
OTHER_MATERIAL magnitude 0.50 · direction +0 · 8-K · 30.1 days ago
UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, D.C. 20549 FORM 8-K CURRENT REPORT Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
source filing ↗

Label history (last 30 snapshot days)

Point-in-time record, oldest → newest; colors follow the label legend on the home page. Never edited after the fact.

Story membership

No mega-story membership recorded for this name in the current evidence-geometry artifacts.

Research and education only — not investment advice. Investment implication: none established — no buy, sell, or alpha conclusion is supported by this page. Past results — in-sample or forward-tracked — do not predict future performance.

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Data through 2026-09-03 (last completed U.S. trading day) · regenerated daily after market close