Why LRCX

WATCH +0.0035

score +0.0035 sits in the WATCH band [+0.00, +0.20) of the published threshold table · snapshot 2026-09-03 17:00 UTC · point-in-time, never edited

Research and education only — not investment advice. Signal labels are research classifications, not buy/sell recommendations. Investment implication: none established — no buy, sell, or alpha conclusion is supported by this page.

Component breakdown (C1–C9, confidence-weighted composite)

C1 Price momentum w=0.12
-0.395
C2 Volume confirmation w=0.08
+0.000
volume feed not wired — zero-confidence by design (C2 challenger accrues in a parallel shadow table)
C3 Sector velocity w=0.12
+0.607
C4 Macro regime w=0.15
+0.600
macro-regime input frozen as of 2026-05-18 with staleness disclosure, pending macro engine restoration
C5 Oil/rates/FX w=0.05
+0.000
C6 Event impact w=0.18
-0.462
C7 Peer correlation w=0.10
+0.148
C8 Cascade effect w=0.12
+0.000
C9 Model trust w=0.08
-0.267

Weights are the published composite weights; component scores are the current snapshot's stored values. C6 event impact carries the highest single weight by design — evidence is meant to correct price-only signals, not echo them.

Evidence coverage — the four terms

93
ECS (0–100)
52
accepted events, 90d
0.6
days since latest event
3
distinct event types
1
substrate active (0/1)

Evidence Coverage v1 (registered protocol): how much evidence stands under this classification — coverage, not prediction.

Latest accepted events

INSIDER_SELL magnitude 1.00 · direction -1 · 4-parsed · 0.6 days ago
Varadarajan Seshasayee S 20000 shares @ $291.32 on 2026-09-02 ($5,826,400)
source filing ↗
INSIDER_SELL magnitude 1.00 · direction -1 · 4-parsed · 0.6 days ago
Varadarajan Seshasayee S 27480 shares @ $291.32 on 2026-09-02 ($8,005,474)
source filing ↗
INSIDER_SELL magnitude 0.71 · direction -1 · 4-parsed · 0.6 days ago
Varadarajan Seshasayee S 12270 shares @ $291.32 on 2026-09-02 ($3,574,496)
source filing ↗
INSIDER_SELL magnitude 0.30 · direction -1 · 4-parsed · 2.7 days ago
Harter Ava S 5000 shares @ $302.46 on 2026-08-31 ($1,512,300)
source filing ↗
EXEC_CHANGE magnitude 0.80 · direction +0 · 8-K · 7.7 days ago
Item 5.02. Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain O
source filing ↗

Label history (last 30 snapshot days)

Point-in-time record, oldest → newest; colors follow the label legend on the home page. Never edited after the fact.

Story membership

No mega-story membership recorded for this name in the current evidence-geometry artifacts.

Research and education only — not investment advice. Investment implication: none established — no buy, sell, or alpha conclusion is supported by this page. Past results — in-sample or forward-tracked — do not predict future performance.

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Data through 2026-09-03 (last completed U.S. trading day) · regenerated daily after market close