Why LUNR

WATCH +0.1755

score +0.1755 sits in the WATCH band [+0.00, +0.20) of the published threshold table · snapshot 2026-09-03 17:00 UTC · point-in-time, never edited

Research and education only — not investment advice. Signal labels are research classifications, not buy/sell recommendations. Investment implication: none established — no buy, sell, or alpha conclusion is supported by this page.

Component breakdown (C1–C9, confidence-weighted composite)

C1 Price momentum w=0.12
+0.265
C2 Volume confirmation w=0.08
+0.000
volume feed not wired — zero-confidence by design (C2 challenger accrues in a parallel shadow table)
C3 Sector velocity w=0.12
+0.000
C4 Macro regime w=0.15
+0.600
macro-regime input frozen as of 2026-05-18 with staleness disclosure, pending macro engine restoration
C5 Oil/rates/FX w=0.05
+0.000
C6 Event impact w=0.18
-0.259
C7 Peer correlation w=0.10
+0.000
C8 Cascade effect w=0.12
+0.000
C9 Model trust w=0.08
+0.467

Weights are the published composite weights; component scores are the current snapshot's stored values. C6 event impact carries the highest single weight by design — evidence is meant to correct price-only signals, not echo them.

Evidence coverage — the four terms

88
ECS (0–100)
28
accepted events, 90d
8.5
days since latest event
3
distinct event types
1
substrate active (0/1)

Evidence Coverage v1 (registered protocol): how much evidence stands under this classification — coverage, not prediction.

Latest accepted events

INSIDER_SELL magnitude 0.47 · direction -1 · 4-parsed · 8.5 days ago
Ghaffarian Kamal Seyed S 139772 shares @ $16.86 on 2026-08-24 ($2,356,724)
source filing ↗
OTHER_MATERIAL magnitude 0.50 · direction +0 · 10-Q · 21.7 days ago
0001844452 us-gaap:ProductMember us-gaap:NonrelatedPartyMember 2026-04-01 2026-06-30
source filing ↗
OTHER_MATERIAL magnitude 0.50 · direction +1 · 8-K · 22.1 days ago
On August 13, 2026, the Company issued a press release announcing its financial results for the fiscal quarter ended June 30, 2026.
source filing ↗
INSIDER_SELL magnitude 0.06 · direction -1 · 4-parsed · 22.5 days ago
Ghaffarian Kamal Seyed S 18664 shares @ $16.68 on 2026-08-10 ($311,362)
source filing ↗
INSIDER_SELL magnitude 0.80 · direction -1 · 4-parsed · 22.5 days ago
Ghaffarian Kamal Seyed S 248784 shares @ $16.13 on 2026-08-10 ($4,013,831)
source filing ↗

Label history (last 30 snapshot days)

Point-in-time record, oldest → newest; colors follow the label legend on the home page. Never edited after the fact.

Story membership

No mega-story membership recorded for this name in the current evidence-geometry artifacts.

Research and education only — not investment advice. Investment implication: none established — no buy, sell, or alpha conclusion is supported by this page. Past results — in-sample or forward-tracked — do not predict future performance.

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Data through 2026-09-03 (last completed U.S. trading day) · regenerated daily after market close