Why PSX

WATCH +0.1841

score +0.1841 sits in the WATCH band [+0.00, +0.20) of the published threshold table · snapshot 2026-09-03 17:00 UTC · point-in-time, never edited

Research and education only — not investment advice. Signal labels are research classifications, not buy/sell recommendations. Investment implication: none established — no buy, sell, or alpha conclusion is supported by this page.

Component breakdown (C1–C9, confidence-weighted composite)

C1 Price momentum w=0.12
+1.000
C2 Volume confirmation w=0.08
+0.000
volume feed not wired — zero-confidence by design (C2 challenger accrues in a parallel shadow table)
C3 Sector velocity w=0.12
-0.790
C4 Macro regime w=0.15
+0.600
macro-regime input frozen as of 2026-05-18 with staleness disclosure, pending macro engine restoration
C5 Oil/rates/FX w=0.05
-0.459
C6 Event impact w=0.18
-0.036
C7 Peer correlation w=0.10
+0.629
C8 Cascade effect w=0.12
+0.000
C9 Model trust w=0.08
-0.120

Weights are the published composite weights; component scores are the current snapshot's stored values. C6 event impact carries the highest single weight by design — evidence is meant to correct price-only signals, not echo them.

Evidence coverage — the four terms

78
ECS (0–100)
15
accepted events, 90d
13.7
days since latest event
2
distinct event types
1
substrate active (0/1)

Evidence Coverage v1 (registered protocol): how much evidence stands under this classification — coverage, not prediction.

Latest accepted events

OTHER_MATERIAL magnitude 0.80 · direction +1 · 8-K · 13.7 days ago
Item 1.01 Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On August 20, 2026, Phillips 66 Company (the “Company”), a wholly owned subsidiary of Phillips 66 (“Phillips 66”
source filing ↗
INSIDER_SELL magnitude 1.00 · direction -1 · 4-parsed · 21.5 days ago
Harbison Richard G S 52100 shares @ $223.76 on 2026-08-12 ($11,658,120)
source filing ↗
INSIDER_SELL magnitude 0.14 · direction -1 · 4-parsed · 22.5 days ago
Mandell Brian S 3300 shares @ $214.02 on 2026-08-10 ($706,266)
source filing ↗
INSIDER_SELL magnitude 1.00 · direction -1 · 4-parsed · 22.5 days ago
Mandell Brian S 30000 shares @ $215.00 on 2026-08-11 ($6,450,000)
source filing ↗
INSIDER_SELL magnitude 0.01 · direction -1 · 4-parsed · 23.6 days ago
Davis Lisa Ann S 315 shares @ $208.99 on 2026-08-10 ($65,831)
source filing ↗

Label history (last 30 snapshot days)

Point-in-time record, oldest → newest; colors follow the label legend on the home page. Never edited after the fact.

Story membership

No mega-story membership recorded for this name in the current evidence-geometry artifacts.

Research and education only — not investment advice. Investment implication: none established — no buy, sell, or alpha conclusion is supported by this page. Past results — in-sample or forward-tracked — do not predict future performance.

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Data through 2026-09-03 (last completed U.S. trading day) · regenerated daily after market close